Thursday, 22 July 2010
Wednesday, 20 January 2010
The Audacity of asking people to Hope
- He set a deadline for the closure of Guantanamo Bay (Jan 2010) then admits that it won't close then.
- The US are still fighting wars in Iraq (despite Obama formally announcing a withdrawal) and increasing troops in Afghanistan... and still losing support.
- He has passed some healthcare reform through Congress... but the two bills in the House and Senate respectively are vastly different and may not find common enough ground to make the difference Obama's healthcare package was supposed to. Especially in the Senate.
- He has presided over an economy that saw a 9 month rise in unemployment in the US from 7.6% to 9.8% (Jan-Sept 2009).
- He promised (again) to repeal "Don't Ask, Don't Tell" in the US military, but sets no timeline or deadline.
- He's lost a Senate race in Massachusetts (well, he didn't, his party did) costing an opportunity to pass healthcare reform.
Wednesday, 16 September 2009
Does "You Lie" indicate a racist backlash for President Obama?
Friday, 22 May 2009
Friday smile...
Thursday, 9 April 2009
Life imitating art

"Life imitates art far more than art imitates life." So said Oscar Wilde.
He might have a point.
When I read this story about a small town in Missouri electing a a new mayor a couple of weeks after he died, I couldn't help but think of this episode of The West Wing where Will Bailey guides a Democrat to victory in the notoriously Republican California 47th despite the candidate dying several weeks before the election.
Of course The West Wing is pretty accurate representation of real life prior to the event: The Season 7 Presidential Election bears an uncanny resemblance to the 2008 US Presidential election is a number of ways.
Maybe it's just good writing. Or maybe politics has become predictable.
Nah, must be the first one...
Friday, 20 March 2009
President Obama on the Jay Leno Show
Some clips of US President on the Jay Leno Show.
Best quote "In Washington, it's a little bit like American Idol, except that everyone is Simon Cowell."
Think Gordon Brown could do the same... and appear on This Morning with Fern & Phil?
Tuesday, 3 March 2009
One story... lots of versions.

On President Obama's budget plans:
Washington Post - "Obama's budget proposals would push deficit to $1.75T
New York Times - "Obama plans major shift in spending"
MSNBC - "Deficit soars in Obama budget"
Fox News - "Height of Audacity"
This is one of the things I find refreshing about America and American media. Views are disparate and they cater for different tastes - Republican and Democrat, liberal and conservative, hawk and dove.
Would be nice if we had that here...
Monday, 2 March 2009
Put up or shut up

Anyway, I had a thought about it. Obama's first chapter is titled "Republicans and Democrats" and, understandably, that is what he discusses. It's a very interesting and paints - in my view - a fairly accurate picture of the partisan nature of US politics (again, something I may return to in another post).
He paints a caricature of gun-toting, bible-bashing flag-waving Republicans and gay-loving, weak-ass, pacifist Democrats who can't see eye to eye on anything.
Now, obviously, he (and I) have simplified the case somewhat, but does that remind anyone (on a smaller scale obviously) of anyone?
I'm talking about Nationalists and Unionists in Scotland. Maybe I'm over dramatising this particular conflict. But I haven't heard any representative of a political party - on either side of the debate - make a positive contribution to support their side for long enough. Its all relentlessly negative.
"Look at the economic mess of Britain," say Nats. "Look at your arc of prosperity now," say Unionists.
Forget about making a positive case. Just make the other side look weak and incompetent and their argument will fall apart. Which is rubbish. It just makes it look like you'd rather attack your opponent than actually propose anything yourself.
I'm pretty sick of the lack of debate on what is supposed to be the defining question of our generation in Scotland. Because at the moment its less like a debate and more like a school playground.
So here's a plea to politicians - on both sides of the debate - make your case. Or shut the hell up.
Friday, 13 February 2009
To lose one advisor might be unfortunate, to lose four?
President Obama has had a fourth nominee for senior position in his Cabinet withdraw their name from consideration:
- Bill Richardson was the original choice for Commerce Secretary, but withdrew due to a donations-for-contracts investigation.
- Tom Dasche was meant to be Health Secretary, but pulled out due to tax questions.
- Nancy Killefer was meant to oversee budget and spending reform, but also had tax questions raised.
- And now, his second nomination for Commerce Secretary Judd Gregg - a Republican senator - has withdrawn his name from consideration due to "irresolvable conflicts" over key issues, particularly the stimulus package.
Man, looks like this "change" thing might not happen quite as quickly as everyone expected. At this rate, President Obama will still be looking for a Commerce Secretary by the time the next election comes round...
Wednesday, 21 January 2009
The big Inauguration questions
They're reporting on the Inauguration of President Obama has been classy. Let me just point you in the direction of this page, which emphasizes this point.
If you have been affected by the issues raised on this page, then you can use the comments at the foot of the page to register your views. I'm not kidding.
"Would you have advised Michelle Obama to dress differently for the Inauguration?"
Cutting edge political discussion. Our licence fee going to good use. Thank you, Auntie Beeb!
Tuesday, 20 January 2009
The words that will shape the next 4 (or 8) years.
I stand here today humbled by the task before us, grateful for the trust you have bestowed, mindful of the sacrifices borne by our ancestors. I thank President Bush for his service to our nation, as well as the generosity and cooperation he has shown throughout this transition.
Forty-four Americans have now taken the presidential oath. The words have been spoken during rising tides of prosperity and the still waters of peace. Yet, every so often the oath is taken amidst gathering clouds and raging storms. At these moments, America has carried on not simply because of the skill or vision of those in high office, but because We the People have remained faithful to the ideals of our forbearers, and true to our founding documents.
So it has been. So it must be with this generation of Americans.
That we are in the midst of crisis is now well understood. Our nation is at war, against a far-reaching network of violence and hatred. Our economy is badly weakened, a consequence of greed and irresponsibility on the part of some, but also our collective failure to make hard choices and prepare the nation for a new age. Homes have been lost; jobs shed; businesses shuttered. Our health care is too costly; our schools fail too many; and each day brings further evidence that the ways we use energy strengthen our adversaries and threaten our planet.
These are the indicators of crisis, subject to data and statistics. Less measurable but no less profound is a sapping of confidence across our land — a nagging fear that America's decline is inevitable, and that the next generation must lower its sights.
Today I say to you that the challenges we face are real. They are serious and they are many. They will not be met easily or in a short span of time. But know this, America — they will be met.
On this day, we gather because we have chosen hope over fear, unity of purpose over conflict and discord.
On this day, we come to proclaim an end to the petty grievances and false promises, the recriminations and worn out dogmas, that for far too long have strangled our politics.
In reaffirming the greatness of our nation, we understand that greatness is never a given. It must be earned. Our journey has never been one of short-cuts or settling for less. It has not been the path for the faint-hearted — for those who prefer leisure over work, or seek only the pleasures of riches and fame. Rather, it has been the risk-takers, the doers, the makers of things — some celebrated but more often men and women obscure in their labor, who have carried us up the long, rugged path towards prosperity and freedom.
For us, they packed up their few worldly possessions and traveled across oceans in search of a new life.
For us, they toiled in sweatshops and settled the West; endured the lash of the whip and plowed the hard earth.
For us, they fought and died, in places like Concord and Gettysburg; Normandy and Khe Sahn.
Time and again these men and women struggled and sacrificed and worked till their hands were raw so that we might live a better life. They saw America as bigger than the sum of our individual ambitions; greater than all the differences of birth or wealth or faction.
This is the journey we continue today. We remain the most prosperous, powerful nation on Earth. Our workers are no less productive than when this crisis began. Our minds are no less inventive, our goods and services no less needed than they were last week or last month or last year. Our capacity remains undiminished. But our time of standing pat, of protecting narrow interests and putting off unpleasant decisions — that time has surely passed. Starting today, we must pick ourselves up, dust ourselves off, and begin again the work of remaking America.
For everywhere we look, there is work to be done. The state of the economy calls for action, bold and swift, and we will act — not only to create new jobs, but to lay a new foundation for growth. We will build the roads and bridges, the electric grids and digital lines that feed our commerce and bind us together. We will restore science to its rightful place, and wield technology's wonders to raise health care's quality and lower its cost. We will harness the sun and the winds and the soil to fuel our cars and run our factories. And we will transform our schools and colleges and universities to meet the demands of a new age. All this we can do. All this we will do.
Now, there are some who question the scale of our ambitions — who suggest that our system cannot tolerate too many big plans. Their memories are short. For they have forgotten what this country has already done; what free men and women can achieve when imagination is joined to common purpose, and necessity to courage.
What the cynics fail to understand is that the ground has shifted beneath them— that the stale political arguments that have consumed us for so long no longer apply. The question we ask today is not whether our government is too big or too small, but whether it works — whether it helps families find jobs at a decent wage, care they can afford, a retirement that is dignified. Where the answer is yes, we intend to move forward. Where the answer is no, programs will end. And those of us who manage the public's dollars will be held to account — to spend wisely, reform bad habits, and do our business in the light of day — because only then can we restore the vital trust between a people and their government.
Nor is the question before us whether the market is a force for good or ill. Its power to generate wealth and expand freedom is unmatched, but this crisis has reminded us that without a watchful eye, the market can spin out of control — and that a nation cannot prosper long when it favors only the prosperous. The success of our economy has always depended not just on the size of our Gross Domestic Product, but on the reach of our prosperity; on the ability to extend opportunity to every willing heart — not out of charity, but because it is the surest route to our common good.
As for our common defense, we reject as false the choice between our safety and our ideals. Our Founding Fathers, faced with perils we can scarcely imagine, drafted a charter to assure the rule of law and the rights of man, a charter expanded by the blood of generations. Those ideals still light the world, and we will not give them up for expedience's sake. And so to all other peoples and governments who are watching today, from the grandest capitals to the small village where my father was born: know that America is a friend of each nation and every man, woman, and child who seeks a future of peace and dignity, and we are ready to lead once more.
Recall that earlier generations faced down fascism and communism not just with missiles and tanks, but with sturdy alliances and enduring convictions. They understood that our power alone cannot protect us, nor does it entitle us to do as we please. Instead, they knew that our power grows through its prudent use; our security emanates from the justness of our cause, the force of our example, the tempering qualities of humility and restraint.
We are the keepers of this legacy. Guided by these principles once more, we can meet those new threats that demand even greater effort — even greater cooperation and understanding between nations. We will begin to responsibly leave Iraq to its people, and forge a hard-earned peace in Afghanistan. With old friends and former foes, we will work tirelessly to lessen the nuclear threat, and roll back the specter of a warming planet. We will not apologize for our way of life, nor will we waver in its defense, and for those who seek to advance their aims by inducing terror and slaughtering innocents, we say to you now that our spirit is stronger and cannot be broken; you cannot outlast us, and we will defeat you.
For we know that our patchwork heritage is a strength, not a weakness. We are a nation of Christians and Muslims, Jews and Hindus — and non-believers. We are shaped by every language and culture, drawn from every end of this Earth; and because we have tasted the bitter swill of civil war and segregation, and emerged from that dark chapter stronger and more united, we cannot help but believe that the old hatreds shall someday pass; that the lines of tribe shall soon dissolve; that as the world grows smaller, our common humanity shall reveal itself; and that America must play its role in ushering in a new era of peace.
To the Muslim world, we seek a new way forward, based on mutual interest and mutual respect. To those leaders around the globe who seek to sow conflict, or blame their society's ills on the West — know that your people will judge you on what you can build, not what you destroy. To those who cling to power through corruption and deceit and the silencing of dissent, know that you are on the wrong side of history; but that we will extend a hand if you are willing to unclench your fist.
To the people of poor nations, we pledge to work alongside you to make your farms flourish and let clean waters flow; to nourish starved bodies and feed hungry minds. And to those nations like ours that enjoy relative plenty, we say we can no longer afford indifference to suffering outside our borders; nor can we consume the world's resources without regard to effect. For the world has changed, and we must change with it.
As we consider the road that unfolds before us, we remember with humble gratitude those brave Americans who, at this very hour, patrol far-off deserts and distant mountains. They have something to tell us, just as the fallen heroes who lie in Arlington whisper through the ages. We honor them not only because they are guardians of our liberty, but because they embody the spirit of service; a willingness to find meaning in something greater than themselves. And yet, at this moment — a moment that will define a generation — it is precisely this spirit that must inhabit us all.
For as much as government can do and must do, it is ultimately the faith and determination of the American people upon which this nation relies. It is the kindness to take in a stranger when the levees break, the selflessness of workers who would rather cut their hours than see a friend lose their job which sees us through our darkest hours. It is the firefighter's courage to storm a stairway filled with smoke, but also a parent's willingness to nurture a child, that finally decides our fate.
Our challenges may be new. The instruments with which we meet them may be new. But those values upon which our success depends — honesty and hard work, courage and fair play, tolerance and curiosity, loyalty and patriotism — these things are old. These things are true. They have been the quiet force of progress throughout our history. What is demanded then is a return to these truths. What is required of us now is a new era of responsibility — a recognition, on the part of every American, that we have duties to ourselves, our nation, and the world, duties that we do not grudgingly accept but rather seize gladly, firm in the knowledge that there is nothing so satisfying to the spirit, so defining of our character, than giving our all to a difficult task.
This is the price and the promise of citizenship.
This is the source of our confidence— the knowledge that God calls on us to shape an uncertain destiny.
This is the meaning of our liberty and our creed — why men and women and children of every race and every faith can join in celebration across this magnificent mall, and why a man whose father less than sixty years ago might not have been served at a local restaurant can now stand before you to take a most sacred oath.
So let us mark this day with remembrance, of who we are and how far we have traveled. In the year of America's birth, in the coldest of months, a small band of patriots huddled by dying campfires on the shores of an icy river. The capital was abandoned. The enemy was advancing. The snow was stained with blood. At a moment when the outcome of our revolution was most in doubt, the father of our nation ordered these words be read to the people:
"Let it be told to the future world...that in the depth of winter, when nothing but hope and virtue could survive ... that the city and the country, alarmed at one common danger, came forth to meet [it]."
America. In the face of our common dangers, in this winter of our hardship, let us remember these timeless words. With hope and virtue, let us brave once more the icy currents, and endure what storms may come. Let it be said by our children's children that when we were tested we refused to let this journey end, that we did not turn back nor did we falter; and with eyes fixed on the horizon and God's grace upon us, we carried forth that great gift of freedom and delivered it safely to future generations.
Thank you. God bless you. And God bless the United States of America."
Read more...Friday, 12 December 2008
Ah, democracy...

Alexis de Tocqueville
Forget Canada and, well, the UK's problems with democracy at the moment. There's a biggie over the Atlantic at the moment.
Governor of Illinois, Rod Blagojevich, has been asked to resign by the Attorney General of the Illinois and the President-Elect. Why?
Well, it is nothing to do with his John Travolta-haircut. Apparently the Governor had been trying to "sell" the Senate seat vacated by President-Elect Obama to whoever planned on donating the most money to his (the Governor's) re-election campaign. Several issues to deal with here.
1) Illinois state law allows for the Governor to appoint "a person of his or her choosing" to fulfil the term of office of a Senate seat for the state should a vacancy arise (as has happened with Obama's former seat - it is illegal to work for two branches of government at the same time). In a number of states, a special election is called, but in Illinois, the Governor, one man, has the power to appoint an individual to serve the population until the next election date. America - home of democracy.
2) Said Governor was allegedly vetting his potential candidates for the position by finding out which was prepared to offer him the most financially rewarding deal - well-paid positions in organisations, donations to his campaign etc. Again, democracy in action - as long as you can afford it.
3) Finally, the Governor was found out. How? His phones were tapped. Freedom of speech? Just as long as the words you are saying aren't problematic for anyone.
Another fine mess.
Wednesday, 12 November 2008
One step forward, three steps back?
I have internet back, so I'm able to respond to comments again - which I'll get round to later. Here's a quick belated post regarding last week.
James at Two Doctors posted on this topic previously, but I wanted to highlight something about the US Election.
On the same night that the US elected an African American as their 44th President:
- Nebraska voted to Ban Affirmative Action
- California voted to Ban Gay Marriage
- Florida voted to define marriage as between a man and a woman, as did Arizona
- Arkansas voted to Ban Gay Adoption
Interestingly however, the "Governorator" of California, Arnold Schwarzenegger - a Republican - called the passage of California's ban "unfortunate" and "disappointing". Which shows there are liberal Republicans out there - just as there are conservative Democrats. And while there might not be a red and blue America, it is not "purple" - as this article, and indeed, President-Elect Obama, have argued.
America remains divided, arguably no longer by partisan notions but by definitions of conservative and liberal areas. Though this piece offers a good counter-view.
So what is my point? Well, just this. Conservative America did not die last Tuesday, just as liberal America did not disappear under the Bush years. Expect to see changes for the right - the removal of swathes of neo-cons for a start - and the left as President-elect Obama takes office. The days of Reaganite economics are long gone, but the conservatives will be back. They always come back.
Thursday, 6 November 2008
Living, breathing history

A lot has been made of the "historic" nature of Obama's win on Tuesday. And while it is interesting to be "living through history" as it were, I have a question (if there's anyone left here that's still reading!).
Where does Obama's win rate - in a(n) historical context? Put it like this: Some academics (and I can't think of any right now!) would argue that the defining political moment of the last... 25 years would be the collapse of the Berlin Wall. Politically, symbolically and historically, that event paved the way for the end of the Cold War - and a radical change in the global political situation.

So - tearing down the Berlin Wall or electing the first African American to lead the world's most powerful nation? Which is your historic moment? (I would do one of those poll things, but I think this is bigger than a simple tick-box answer!)
Wednesday, 5 November 2008
Five reasons Obama won, and five why McCain lost
So here are five reasons why Obama won the election:
1) The country was ready for "change we can believe in." Not quite as succinct as "It's time" but I guess the same principle. Obama's message was simple: Washington needs changed - and he was the man to do it. And that message resonated with voters.
2) He got the vote out. Obama's appeal was not just to the African American vote, nor to young people (who saw him as "cool"). He talked to all parts of society. His campaign also pulled in a huge number of first-time voters after massive registration-drives across the country.
3) The massive campaign warchest. By election day it totalled over £400m ($650m), with which McCain - limiting himself to the federal limit - could not compete.
4) Celebrity appeal. At rallies across the country, Obama spoke to crowds running up to 100,000 people. And he spoke with an effortlessness, a certain (if you pardon the cliche) je ne sais quoi. You don't know what it is, but you know it when you see it. And Obama had it - at least for 63 million Americans.
5) America has itself changed. Just over half a century ago, civil rights activists saw a huge victory in stopping segregation on buses. Fifty years later, America has, finally, elected an African American to the highest office in the land. And yes - seeing the Rev Jesse Jackson with tears streaming down his face did pull at a heartstring or two here.
And here are five reasons that McCain lost:
1) The economy
2) The campaign he was forced to run (ie - to the right)
3) The choice of Sarah Palin as running mate
4) Eight years of George W Bush representing the Republican party
5) He was running against a force of nature
Thoughts?
A change is gonna come
Despite backing his Republican rival for the Presidency, I'm not overly disappointed that Obama has won (except for the money it would have made me had it gone the other way). I think McCain was the right candidate for the Republicans, though presumably the Republicans could have run a dynasty of Kennedy's against Obama and he would likely still have won. America has spoken its desire for change, and that change, as Sam Cooke would say, is gonna come. I'm hopeful for the future of America and the world under the stewardship of Obama.
So here's hoping that his "Bob the Builder" mantra - "YES WE CAN" - is something he can deliver on. But those questions are for tomorrow. Today he, America and, I guess, a large portion of the world, celebrate the shattering of racial barriers in the US and a new President.
I'll do more in the way of analysis later, but I'll leave you with Sam Cooke.
Congratulations President-Elect Obama

US election - LIVE BLOG #3
Obama 349
Still to call: North Carolina (15) (leaning Obama) and Missouri (11) (leaning McCain. If those were to go that way, final state by state would read:
Obama 364
But I'll hold off on that for a little while.
4.45 It is nearly 5am here and I'm calling it a night. There are still five states in play - Alaska, Missouri (probably McCain), Montana (probably Obama) and Indiana and North Carolina (probably Obama but too close to call really).
I'd like to thank everyone who has commented/ read these meanderings over the past 6(!) hours. Hope you've enjoyed it. I'll be back with some analysis in a few hours - after I've had some sleep. And then there's Glenrothes on Thursday. Arrabest!
4.38 Sky News has Nevada (5) for Obama as well.
Obama 338
4.36 Sky News calls Colorado (9) for Obama.
Obama 333
4.30 I really hope that Obama considers offering McCain a Cabinet post - or am I going a but West Wing Season 7 on you all?
4.25 McCain's concession speech really is something.
4.20 Sky News calls Florida (27) for Obama. Getting near that landslide that I said wouldn't happen... but Arizona (10) called for native McCain.
Obama 324
4.18 McCain on stage in Arizona.
4.17 Colorado, Indiana and FLORIDA projected for Obama by various US networks. No confirmation yet.
4.11 McCain has called Obama and conceded the election; about to address crowd in Arizona.
4.04 Sky News calls Califonia (55), Oregon (7), Hawaii (4) and Washington (11) for Obama, Idaho (4) for McCain
Obama 297
4.02 SKY NEWS CALLS ELECTION FOR BARACK OBAMA - 44TH PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA
4.01 Sky News calls VIRGINIA (13) for Obama. That's almost all folks...
Obama 220
4.00 Polls closed in California, Washington and Oregon.
3.59 McCain to address rally shortly - in about a minute and a half apparently.
3.58 California on the verge of declaring for Obama... is there a slightly overweight woman warming up her vocal chords somewhere?
3.50 Fox and AP are calling Virginia for Obama. Looks like the tipping point, would put Obama on 220 - with California's 55 putting him over the top. Concession speech on the way?
3.44 36 states have now been called
3.40 Sky News calls South Dakota (3) for McCain.
Obama 207
3.33 Sky News projects McCain to win 3 of Nebraska's EC votes (split college).
Obama 207
3.26 Question being asked on Sky News: "Where were you when Barack Obama was elected as the first African American US President?" Well, I was right here, bringing the news to you!
3.17 There's a guy being interviewed on Sky News just now - his name is Bob Weiner. That's my moment of light-hearted humour for the morning.
3.12 Sky News: John McCain "moments away" from a concession speech... one more state for Obama (plus California's 55 votes) will tip it.
3.01 Sky News: Obama wins Iowa (7), McCain wins Utah (5), Mississippi (6)
Obama 207
3.00 Sky News does indeed give Texas (34) to McCain.
Obama 200
2.55 BBC, ABC both call Texas for McCain, though I'll still hold off on that until Sky News...
2.52 ABC projects that Mississippi will, unsurprisingly, go red.
2.50 According to MSNBC, the popular vote figures at 50%-49% to Obama - with 36 million votes counted...
2.44 With California, Oregon and Washington state to come (which will, in all likelihood, go Democrat) we're looking at Obama making 284 without too much trouble - passing 270 with some ease. And I should have taken some money on Obama...
2.40 Polls close in Iowa, Montana, Nevada and Utah shortly... not that they are going to matter much!
2.33 Sky News calls Louisiana (9) for McCain, New Mexico (5) for Obama.
Obama 200
2.32 I keep saying this, but Florida still too close to call.
2.30 New thread required I feel for the imminent conclusion of this race... and a picture of the man who presumably will be the 44th President of the United States of America.

US election - LIVE BLOG #2
2.24 MASSIVE MOMENT Sky News - Obama WINS OHIO. 20 EV for him... surely over now.
Obama 195
2.23 Democrats have retained control of the Senate. They now have 52 Senators. Running up the score now.
2.20 FoxNews projects OHIO for Obama - again. Based on 9% of the precincts reporting. If that goes blue, they can start opening the champagne...
2.14 In fact, looking at the whole map... and taking out the states that haven't changed hands in years - McCain can only really afford to lose Nevada. He'd need to win everywhere else - Ohio, Florida, North Carolina, New Mexico and Colorado. And that is a big ask.
2.12 Forgetting Florida and Ohio - which would make it big - if Obama can find a win in Colorado, he's pretty much got it won.
2.10 Kansas (6) for McCain - Sky News.
Obama 175
2.08 We're getting into the realms of winning territory now - Sky News calls Michigan (17) for Obama. McCain takes Wyoming (3).
Obama 175
2.06 Sky News calls Minnesota (10), Rhode Island (4) for Obama
Obama 158
2.04 Sky News calls North Dakota (3) for McCain.
Obama 144
2.03 Sky News calls New York (31), Wisconsin (10) for Obama
Obama 144
2.01 Fox calls OHIO for Obama but retracts...
2.01 Fox gives Obama Wisconsin, New Mexico, New York
2.00 Some more projections imminent...
1.53 Five more polls close in seven minutes.
1.43 Sky News also calls Georgia (15) - for McCain. Something of a revival?
Obama 103
1.42 Sky News finally calls Connecticut for Obama. My numbers are aligned again.
Obama 103
1.40 Irvine Welsh (of "Trainspotting" authoring fame) is on Sky News, being interviewed in Florida. They're still calling it as "too close" but Obama ahead by a nose... THAT really would be curtains.
1.32 Arkansas (6), Alabama (9) and Oklahoma (7) all called for McCain by Sky News.
Obama 103 (-7 CONN is 96)
1.30 Sky News gives Obama Illinois (21) - but hasn't yet called Connecticut which I have - which I think is where the numbers are skewed.
Obama 103 (-7 CONN is 96)
1.29 Sky News gives Obama Pennsylvania (21).... and I think, the election.
Obama 82
1.23 Arkansas polls close at 1.30 GMT. ABC and MSNBC call Oklahoma for McCain. I'm still waiting for Sky for Penn. Polls showing Obama ahead in Ohio as well, Florida too close to call.
1.19 Sky News gives Obama New Jersey (15).
Obama 61
1.16 For some reason Sky has the score as 39-32. And I can't work out why!
1.13 Sky News calls New Hampshire (4) for Obama.
Obama 46
1.12 ABC also projects Pennsylvania for Obama too...
1.08 MSNBC has projected Pennsylvania - crucially - for Obama... but no other networks calling it yet. That's potentially game over.
1.04 Delaware (3), Maine (4), Connecticut (7), Washington D.C (3) for Obama; Tennessee (11) for McCain.
Obama 42
1.03 Sky News also calls Maryland (10) for Obama.
Obama 25
Obama 15
1.01 Fox News projects Massachusetts (12 votes) for Obama. I'm waiting for Sky to call it as well before I update.
1.00 15 more states close polls. Plus D.C I won't list them all. But includes Pennsylvania and Florida - two key states. Incidentally, Sky News says Georgia is too close to call.
0.51 Sky News gives McCain South Carolina with 8 Electoral Votes.
Obama 3
00.47 I need another cup of tea.
0.45 Republican commentator on Sky News telling us that Palin has won over a lot of disaffected Hillary voters. Anyone buy it?
0.43 With 12% of precincts reporting in Indiana, CNN has McCain leading 51-48. That's a biggie - long way to go yet.
0.41 (GMT) I took the photo below. True story. Everyone having a good time?

Tuesday, 4 November 2008
US election - LIVE BLOG
0.31 Fox News - and now Sky News - are calling West Virginia (5) for McCain. I must have been a wee bit early with that!
Obama 3
0.30 Polls close in Ohio (super-swing state - might be the tipping point if Obama takes it) West Virginia and North Carolina.
0.26 Scratch the WV chat... I might have read the map wrong... Still only 2 states called.
0.24 FoxNews calls West Virginia (5) for McCain. No other networks has that yet.
0.15 MSNBC has Indiana as Too Close To Call. To reiterate, McCain really needs to win it if he's to keep the race going.
0.09 Just to recap, the states where polls closed at midnight (GMT) are Georgia, Kentucky (RED) South Carolina, Vermont (BLUE), Indiana and Virginia.
Indiana and Virginia the ones to watch - if McCain takes them, we'll be here a while. If they're called for Obama, it could be a quick night.
0.04 Sky News calls Vermont (3) for Obama. No surprises in either result.
Obama 3
0.01 Sky News, FoxNews and ABC call Kentucky (8) for McCain
Obama 0
0.00 Polls close in 6 states
23.55 FiveThirtyEight.com has a slightly different starting point with regards "safe" states for both candidates - giving Obama a 224-110 lead. They also project Obama taking another 87 to win 311-167.
23.50 I never realised this would be so confusing - I have four windows open, with 5 tabs in each and Sky News on. How am I going to manage when the results actually start coming in?!!
23.40 With no results announced yet, Fox News has started its "post-mortem" into the election already with this analysis. Makes interesting reading.
23.31 First precincts reporting in Indiana - 1% have reported. Split 55-44% for Obama after that 1%. 11 Electoral College votes there.
23.30 Radio Five Live has a Republican pollster on, saying exit polls in Indiana, Ohio and Florida too close to call... long time to go on them though.
23.24 Some polls (but not all of them!) have closed in Indiana and Kentucky. That happened at 23.00 here. Should have some kinda call on those two at around midnight.
23.15 Is it just me that finds it odd that California will still be voting when some of the results in the East are announced? I know it is a logistic thing - the size of the States makes it difficult, but I find that strange. Of course, California will vote Obama (there's no question) but people will know who has won before they vote - does that make their vote less valuable?
23.10 Sky News has a starting point of Obama 228 McCain 118 based on polling. If that is indeed the way it goes, Ohio and Pennsylvania would put Obama on 269 - one short of the magic 270. Which means that the early states - Indiana, Virginia etc, might not matter at all. But again, thats only a projection - no results yet.
23.06 I know I said earlier to be cautious with exit polls, and I will be. But the way I was saying was not to read to much of them in Obama's favour - that more people would tell pollsters they were voting for Obama. But these early exits show something different - a shift away from Obama. Hope for McCain? Or straw-clutching?
23.00 (GMT) Fox News reporting that late ballots will be kept in Virginia - but not necessarily counted. Will this make a difference? Or will it be so far out of the way by then?
22.50 (GMT): Interesting flowchart for the election here. Shows what happens when someone wins a state and the potential for a win.
22.30 (GMT): Okay, I have Sky News on the TV, Mrs in the Burgh is away to bed and I have the first of what I expect will be several cups of tea in front of me. Guess it is time to begin!
Give me a shout if there's anyone about, we can get a debate going. Is this going to end in anything other than an Obama win?
