Thursday, 13 November 2008

The 2009/10 General Election

Current political map of Scotland (from Scottish Politics)

I've been saying for some time that I would start a round-up of the Scottish constituencies in time for the next Westminster election. Well, that time has arrived, and an alphabetical list will begin with Aberdeen North this afternoon. I'm still working on some (most) of the information. If nothing else, I'll get 59 blog posts out of it...

Anyway, to start off, here's a rough guide to my predictions (which would be more fun if Jeff were here to critique them). I should point out that pre-Glenrothes by-election, there were slightly less Labour seats, but after careful analysis (read: guesswork) I've reverted them back to red. So, the next Parliament's representation from Scotland - by my reckoning - will look something like this:

LAB (including Speaker) - 31 (-8)
SNP - 13 (+6)

LIB DEM - 9 (-3)

CON - 6 (+5)

The following posts will give information on each constituency - with previous election results, swing required, candidates and Scottish Parliament equivalents. If you know of any factors that I haven't considered (for example, pertinent local issues) drop me a line and I'll update the information.


McChatterer 13 November 2008 at 09:43  

Looking forward to the series!

Arnie 13 November 2008 at 11:30  

This looks like it will be very interesting, I look forward to it.

Anonymous,  13 November 2008 at 17:08  

Hi Malc.

Looks like a huge but very interesting project and I'm looking forward to seeing it unfold.

I'll be particularly interested in your assessment of the two West Lothian seats which, until recently, were heavily skewed due to the Cook and Dalyell effect.

Damon Lord 13 November 2008 at 22:36  

Should make for some interesting reading. Curious to see which would be the 5 tory gains....

Malc 18 November 2008 at 10:24  

It is a huge project - and I won't be done til January most likely! But hope you lot are enjoying what I've done so far.

WW - haven't got as far as West Lothian yet (still at "C" in the alphabet!)

Damon - They probably won't be huge surprises. Though I do reserve the right to change that prediction!

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