US result 2004
I challenged ASwaS on Wednesday last week to predict the winner of each state in the US election - and gave him a deadline of 23 September to make his predictions - still two weeks away. The uber-confident Stephen Glenn has already posted his prediction - long before the deadline. I'm not crazy/confident enough to nail my predictions down yet - I still think a lot may happen in the next 2 weeks - but I thought I'd post some numbers to think about. So, here's what happened in 2004:
| States won by Republicans 2004 | States won by Democrats 2004 |
| Alabama 9 | California 55 |
| Alaska 3 | Connecticut 7 |
| Arizona 10 | Delaware 3 |
| Arkansas 6 | D.C. 3 |
| Colorado 9 | Hawaii 4 |
| Florida 27 | Illinois 21 |
| Georgia 15 | Maine 4 |
| Idaho 4 | Maryland 10 |
| Indiana 11 | Massachusetts 12 |
| Iowa 7 | Michigan 17 |
| Kansas 6 | Minnesota 10 |
| Kentucky 8 | New Hampshire 4 |
| Louisiana 9 | New Jersey 15 |
| Mississippi 6 | New York 31 |
| Missouri 11 | Oregon 7 |
| Montana 3 | Pennsylvania 21 |
| Nebraska 5 | Rhode Island 4 |
| Nevada 5 | Vermont 3 |
| New Mexico 5 | Washington 11 |
| North Carolina 15 | Wisconsin 10 |
| North Dakota 3 | TOTAL STATES – 19 (+ D.C) |
| Ohio 20 | ELECTORAL COLLEGE VOTES – 252 |
| Oklahoma 7 | |
| South Carolina 8 | |
| South Dakota 3 | |
| Tennessee 11 | |
| Texas 34 | |
| Utah 5 | |
| Virginia 13 | |
| West Virginia 5 | |
| Wyoming 3 | |
| TOTAL STATES – 31 | |
| ELECTORAL COLLEGE VOTES – 286 |
3 comments:
You missed out a column for States stolen by the Republicans but cheers for the list, I'll be putting my own blogging neck on the line, no doubt 5 minutes before the deadline!
I think you are confusing 2004 with 2000 Jeff :)
Time sure flies...
And I'm just lowering expectations for my predicting efforts in advance of a can of whoop ass being opened up on me in due course.
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