Sunday, 7 September 2008

US result 2004

I challenged ASwaS on Wednesday last week to predict the winner of each state in the US election - and gave him a deadline of 23 September to make his predictions - still two weeks away. The uber-confident Stephen Glenn has already posted his prediction - long before the deadline. I'm not crazy/confident enough to nail my predictions down yet - I still think a lot may happen in the next 2 weeks - but I thought I'd post some numbers to think about. So, here's what happened in 2004:

States won by Republicans 2004

States won by Democrats 2004

Alabama 9

California 55

Alaska 3

Connecticut 7

Arizona 10

Delaware 3

Arkansas 6

D.C. 3

Colorado 9

Hawaii 4

Florida 27

Illinois 21

Georgia 15

Maine 4

Idaho 4

Maryland 10

Indiana 11

Massachusetts 12

Iowa 7

Michigan 17

Kansas 6

Minnesota 10

Kentucky 8

New Hampshire 4

Louisiana 9

New Jersey 15

Mississippi 6

New York 31

Missouri 11

Oregon 7

Montana 3

Pennsylvania 21

Nebraska 5

Rhode Island 4

Nevada 5

Vermont 3

New Mexico 5

Washington 11

North Carolina 15

Wisconsin 10

North Dakota 3

TOTAL STATES – 19 (+ D.C)

Ohio 20

ELECTORAL COLLEGE VOTES – 252

Oklahoma 7


South Carolina 8


South Dakota 3


Tennessee 11


Texas 34


Utah 5


Virginia 13


West Virginia 5


Wyoming 3


TOTAL STATES – 31


ELECTORAL COLLEGE VOTES – 286


3 comments:

Jeff 8 September 2008 at 07:23  

You missed out a column for States stolen by the Republicans but cheers for the list, I'll be putting my own blogging neck on the line, no doubt 5 minutes before the deadline!

Malc 8 September 2008 at 09:21  

I think you are confusing 2004 with 2000 Jeff :)

Jeff 8 September 2008 at 11:30  

Time sure flies...


And I'm just lowering expectations for my predicting efforts in advance of a can of whoop ass being opened up on me in due course.

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